Runs, Runs, Runs

Everybody seems to thinks the Phils will score runs this year. A lot of runs. A whole lot of runs. Between the additions of Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos and the DH in the National League, the Phils will be lighting up scoreboards from coast to coast. 

How many runs are we talking? I decided to use baseball-reference.com's 162-game average tool to get an idea. It takes a player's career and computes what an average 162-game season looks like. We'll list the 162-game average for home runs, batting average, and OPS and see what happens.

Schwarber - 37 HR, .237/.836

Segura - 13 HR, .285/.740

Harper - 34 HR, .274/916

Hoskins - 37 HR, .241/.862

Castellanos - 25 HR, .278/.814

Realmuto - 21 HR, .275/.783

Gregorius - 21 HR, .259/.737

That's 188 home runs right there, not counting whatever comes from CF and at third base. The 2021 Phillies hit 198 home runs and scored 734 runs, which turns out to be league average for the year. Six teams scored more than 800 runs last year. It's not a stretch to think the Phils could top 800 runs, especially since they'll be missing at least three games against Mets ace Jacob DeGrom, who is shut down for at least a month. 

Add in lots of other injuries to pitchers because of the short spring training, and you're going to see offensive numbers like you haven't seen in years. Scoring 800 shouldn't be a problem for the Phils. But with that defense, preventing 800 is another story altogether.